FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 3, 2010 - This Day In History
5 Reasons Mitt Romney is the Guy to Watch
Posted By jwilkes - Tuesday, June 30th, 2009 at 2:17 PM
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Forgive me for speaking way too early, but the Republican presidential field seems to be shaping up sooner than anyone had previously imagined.

Already, the GOP has essentially lost three strong candidates:

-Utah Gov. John Huntsman accepted President Barack Obama’s offer to become the next US Ambassador to China. It’s kind of hard to take a plum appointment from a guy one minute and then run against him the next.

-South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford went from conservative hopeful to a late-night punch line when he disappeared for five days, only to come back and contradict the various explanations given by his wife and staff by admitting that he’d been in Argentina having an affair.

-Nevada Sen. John Ensign sparked headlines when he made a pilgrimage to the Holy Ground of national politics (Iowa) a few months back, only to watch any potential ambitions go up in smoke with a tawdry tale of blackmail and going after a Senate campaign staffer’s wife.

That leaves a few key Republicans vying for a chance to take up the mantle that John McCain dropped in 2008: Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former House Speaker New Gingrich, and a smattering of GOP Senators, including John Thune of South Dakota, Jim DeMint of South Carolina, and a few others who’ve yet to be named. But from past scandals to a lack of name recognition, each of these candidates has serious impediments when it comes to running a national campaign.

Mitt Romney has relatively fewer problems than any of them.

Of course, he does have a few outstanding problems, so let’s get that out of the way to begin with. First, his Mormonism hasn’t exactly gone away. But the fact is that even though his religious beliefs may have cost him a few votes in the Republican primary, he finished a respectable second to John McCain. Plus, his speech on religion from Houston in the early rounds scored him enormous points not just with the Republican rank-and-file, but also with Evangelicals- a phenomenon few thought possible. In fact, the more its talked about, Romney’s faith seems more a benefit than a detriment.

Romney’s single biggest flaw will be that his positions have changed over the course of his career. He went from participating Planned Parenthood fundraisers in 1994 to vehemently pro-life as a presidential candidate. He was once pro-civil union, but has now reclassified his previous comments to say that he only supports civil unions as an alternative to gay marriage. His fluctuations would undoubtedly be his greatest obstacle, both in a primary and general election.

But there are a bevy of reasons that Romney would stand to perform well- and perhaps even win- in the race for the Republican nomination. Here are just five:

1. Republicans Tend to Nominate People Who’ve Run for President Before

With the exception of George W. Bush, Republicans tend to favor candidates who’ve sought the nomination at least once before: John McCain (won in ‘08, lost in ‘00), Bob Dole (won in ‘96, lost in ‘80), George H.W. Bush (won in ‘92, ‘88, lost in ‘80), Ronald Reagan (won in ‘80, ‘84, lost in ‘76), Richard Nixon (won in ‘72, ‘68, lost in ‘60), Barry Goldwater (won in ‘64, lost in 1960). That bodes well for Romney, and not necessarily for any of the others, with the possible exception of former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, and Palin, who had just about the next best thing in her run for the vice presidency.

2. His Economic Background is Impeccable

While the economic crisis was coming at us like a freight train back in the fall of 2008, imagine if Republicans had sent Romney up to the stage instead of McCain-Palin. He has undeniable market chops, having built his own spin-off company in Bain Capitol, and then returning to it after years of absence to steer it from deep in the red to almost overnight profitability. Romney, a Harvard M.B.A., is probably the only Republican out there who can claim the Reagan mantle of economic policy. And to top it off, none of the others have had the success in business that Romney has.

3. Romney is ready.

Romney has stayed politically lean in his time off the national stage. He’s given a few choice network interviews, keeping every topic he speaks on right within his wheel house: government spending and economics. That means he hasn’t made incendiary comments that can be branded as partisan baiting (Gingrich), given poorly-received speeches (Jindal), or passed on tough questions in interviews (Palin). He’s avoided any political scandals, and even gone so far as to sell off property to avoid appearing "too wealthy" - and thus, detached from the general American public- by selling off some personal property. His election team, curiously, has remained entirely intact, with his top operatives ready to resume campaign activity at the drop of a hat. His political rehab following his primary loss began the day he withdrew from the contest, when he gave a rousing speech before the Conservative Political Action Committee. Romney has made every move a man considering a second bid can- and should- make.

4. In a truly Republican primary, Romney wins.

Romney may have taken second place in the primary, but let’s remember: John McCain did not win a single primary among registered Republicans up to Super Tuesday. Rather, open primary contests that allowed Independents to vote alongside GOPers propelled McCain forward. If the GOP is serious about putting forward a candidate that toes the party line (as they’ve said they are), they’ll have to shut down those primaries. And that would mean Romney, who routinely performed well among rank-and-file Republican voters, would have already won the GOP nomination in 2008.

5. Timing

Quite frankly, now is a terrible time to be in office, especially for governors (but also for Senators). The economy is terrible, we’re fighting what is essentially 1.5 wars (one full one in Afghanistan and a rapidly-downscaling presence in Iraq), while trying to avoid having to take military action against North Korea, Iran, or a South American nation (i.e. Honduras). With most states running out of money, it’s the Governors who are looking to pay the heaviest prices, and it seems to be affecting both parties fairly equally. Romney’s successor, Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick, is actually trailing a potential Republican challenger in early polling. Mitt didn’t have the greatest numbers when he left Boston. Then again, while his tenure wasn’t exactly marked by a booming economy, it wasn’t nearly this bad. Current governors are going to have to spend the next several years fighting to get the state economies back on track. Some of them are inevitably going to lose their jobs. But Mitt gets to sit back and play Monday morning quarterback.

There are, of course, a few who could give Romney a run for his money. From where I’m sitting, Barbour and Pawlenty look to be Romney’s heaviest competition. One might argue that being a former Chairman of the RNC might hurt Barbour because of the intense political hackery that comes with the position. But then again, it didn’t seem to hurt either George H.W. Bush or Bob Dole in getting the GOP nomination. And Pawlenty will have name troubles, which won’t be particularly difficult to overcome, particularly because he has the conservative credentials in what will likely be a year that the GOP tries to get back to its roots. Jindal could be a factor as well. He gave a boring speech earlier in the year, but Bill Clinton’s 1988 keynote address at the Democratic National Convention was legendarily bad, and he came back just fine. Still though, Jindal made it clear that he wasn’t ready for the national stage. 2016 might be another story for him, however.

It’s not that Romney is a shoe-in. But he is shaping up to be the candidate with the most in his arsenal right now. Palin has healthy polling numbers nationwide, but actually having to run in an election year (complete with debates, interviews, town halls, etc.) is a different story entirely. Romney has everything it takes at this point. And unless someone comes along and just blows him out of the water, the 2012 presidential election is bound to feature a few familiar faces.

 



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Discussion:
[-] I agree with you - Guest-blueaardvark444
Romney / Huckabee is my guess. Huckabee can't stand Romney but liking your boss is not required.
[ Posted at 3:00 PM on 7/1/09 | Reply ]
He appears sane which is a quality that seems hard to find in the GOP these days.
[ Posted at 3:10 PM on 7/1/09 | Reply ]
[-] 6. Flip Flops - Guest-bc3
Mitt "flip flops" like a fish out of water. Wait until his opponents start playing some of his old debate tapes.
[ Posted at 8:01 PM on 7/1/09 | Reply ]
[-] Romney is polished - Guest-fitnesstraineraustin
but he is not a person to lead a Reagan-like revolution.

fitness trainer austin Website Link
[ Posted at 8:34 PM on 7/1/09 | Reply ]
[-] No thanks - Guest-Dangus
Huntsmann and Ensign were potential candidates? On what planet?

Romney is very smart: his answers were almost too perfectly composed and stated in the debates; he made it seem like he was reading them from a teleprompter. But his conservative credentials are highly questionable. And I think the last thing the GOP faithful want is another fake conservative like Bush, Sr., Dole and McCain.

It's funny how the newsmedia scandal-mongers about Palin incessantly, yet never mentions her as a potential candidate.
[ Posted at 8:36 PM on 7/1/09 | Reply ]
[-] your post would make sense if - Guest-TrueBlueMajority
people made their presidential preference picks based on common sense and reason.

they don't.

there is something about Romney that makes people uneasy. He has a deep down unlikability that all his other "advantages" can't fix. That plastic robotic quality does not inspire trust and confidence and identification, which are the real reasons people choose their candidates, not the political junkie "qualifications" listed in your diary.

that said, I would relish the opportunity to campaign against him in 2012, since Massachusetts residents have a lot to say about what a sorry administration he ran as a governor and what an opportunistic liar he was as a politician.
[ Posted at 1:20 AM on 7/2/09 | Reply ]
[-] Not Romney - Guest-DavidE7
Mitt Romney is the poster boy for the discredited Republican establishment that caused the financial meltdown. He has no chance to ever become President and his flunkies should stop spending his fortune trying to persuade America otherwise. If Huckabee had any resources, he would be the guy.
[ Posted at 4:01 AM on 7/2/09 | Reply ]

Hey J!  thanks for the great LAUGH!   He is a flip flopper!  and even a Bigger PHONEY!!!!!

Massachusetts couldn't stand him!  Another pretty boy-boy toy!  LOL!!!

I have to find that website for you, the one the Bostonians created telling him not to bother to run!

now, I know it's here somewhere in the world wide web...hmmm...let's see...If I can find it...

Thanks again for the great LAUGH!

MaryBoston, Massachusetts HATES Romney!   LOL! LOL! LOL! LOL! LOL! LOL! LOL! LOL!

Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor April 16, 2008 11:46 PM

By Joseph Williams, Globe Staff

WASHINGTON -- Three months after suspending his Republican presidential bid, Mitt Romney returned to the scene of his political Waterloo and delivered a scoop to the Capitol Hill reporters gathered at an annual awards dinner tonight: The real reasons he dropped out.

The former Massachusetts governor, not particularly known for his sense of humor, made a surprise appearance at the Radio and Television Correspondents' Association dinner and delivered a Top Ten list poking fun at himself and his image -- and threw a few barbs at Hillary Clinton and Al Gore in the bargain.

Romney, who has been rumored to be on presumptive GOP nominee John McCain's short list for vice president, said the reasons he dropped out, in reverse order, were:

No. 10: There weren't as many Osmonds as he thought.


No. 9: Got tired of the corkscrew landings of his campaign plane while under fire


No. 8: As a lifelong hunter, I didn't want to miss the start of varmint season.


No. 7: There wasn't room for two Christian leaders in the presidential race


No. 6: I was upset that no one bothered to search my passport files.


No. 5: I'd rather get fat, grow a beard and try for the Nobel prize.


No. 4: Got tired of wearing a dark suit and tie, and I wanted to kick back in a light colored suit and tie.


No. 3: When my wife realized I couldn't win the GOP nomination, my fundraising dried up.


No. 2: I took a bad fall at a campaign rally and broke my hair.


And the No. 1 reason Romney dropped out: His campaign relied on a flawed campaign strategy that as Utah goes, so goes the nation.

[ Posted at 1:57 PM on 7/2/09 | Reply ]

HE'S NOT CONSERVATIVE ENOUGH FOR THE REPUBLICAN VOTERS WHO ARE PRO-LIFERS!

He wouldn't even get past them!   Signed, MaryBoston

Article published on December 22, 2007
 

Editorial
 
Romney should not be the next president

Concord,N.H. Monitor staff

December 22, 2007
 
 
Related articles:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Related links:
 
 
 
 

If you were building a Republican presidential candidate from a kit, imagine what pieces you might use: an athletic build, ramrod posture, Reaganesque hair, a charismatic speaking style and a crisp dark suit. You'd add a beautiful wife and family, a wildly successful business career and just enough executive government experience. You'd pour in some old GOP bromides - spending cuts and lower taxes - plus some new positions for 2008: anti-immigrant rhetoric and a focus on faith.

Add it all up and you get Mitt Romney, a disquieting figure who sure looks like the next president and most surely must be stopped.

Romney's main business experience is as a management consultant, a field in which smart, fast-moving specialists often advise corporations on how to reinvent themselves. His memoir is called Turnaround - the story of his successful rescue of the 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City - but the most stunning turnaround he has engineered is his own political career.

If you followed only his tenure as governor of Massachusetts, you might imagine Romney as a pragmatic moderate with liberal positions on numerous social issues and an ability to work well with Democrats. If you followed only his campaign for president, you'd swear he was a red-meat conservative, pandering to the religious right, whatever the cost. Pay attention to both, and you're left to wonder if there's anything at all at his core.

As a candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1994, he boasted that he would be a stronger advocate of gay rights than his opponent, Ted Kennedy. These days, he makes a point of his opposition to gay marriage and adoption.

There was a time that he said he wanted to make contraception more available - and a time that he vetoed a bill to sell it over-the-counter.

The old Romney assured voters he was pro-choice on abortion. "You will not see me wavering on that," he said in 1994, and he cited the tragedy of a relative's botched illegal abortion as the reason to keep abortions safe and legal. These days, he describes himself as pro-life.

There was a time that he supported stem-cell research and cited his own wife's multiple sclerosis in explaining his thinking; such research, he reasoned, could help families like his. These days, he largely opposes it. As a candidate for governor, Romney dismissed an anti-tax pledge as a gimmick. In this race, he was the first to sign.

People can change, and intransigence is not necessarily a virtue. But Romney has yet to explain this particular set of turnarounds in a way that convinces voters they are based on anything other than his own ambition.

In the 2008 campaign for president, there are numerous issues on which Romney has no record, and so voters must take him at his word. On these issues, those words are often chilling. While other candidates of both parties speak of restoring America's moral leadership in the world, Romney has said he'd like to "double" the U.S. prison at Guantanamo Bay, where inmates have been held for years without formal charge or access to the courts. He dodges the issue of torture - unable to say, simply, that waterboarding is torture and America won't do it.

When New Hampshire partisans are asked to defend the state's first-in-the-nation primary, we talk about our ability to see the candidates up close, ask tough questions and see through the baloney. If a candidate is a phony, we assure ourselves and the rest of the world, we'll know it.

Mitt Romney is such a candidate. New Hampshire Republicans and independents must vote no.

[ Posted at 2:16 PM on 7/2/09 | Reply ]

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